Will it bond?
Trade the odds.
Every coin launched here goes live on pump.fun with one question attached: does it fill its bonding curve before the deadline. The market prices the answer. Solana settles it.
Launching soon on pump.funOne question, priced
Pick a coin to see what the market thinks of it right now.
| Measure | Now |
|---|
Example odds until markets open. See every market →
Recently launched
Coins launched through Forecast, with their curves read live from pump.fun.
Every launch is already a forecast.The Forecast thesis
How a coin is judged
Launch on pump.fun
Your coin goes live on pump.fun's bonding curve. You sign once, from your own wallet.
A question opens
Will it bond before its 72-hour deadline. The answer is yes or no, and nothing else.
The odds move
Traders buy yes or no. The yes price is the market's probability, shown on every coin.
Solana settles it
Bonded before the deadline, yes pays. Otherwise no pays. No oracle, no vote.
The odds steer the fees
Market fees split by how likely a coin is to bond, inside fixed bands. Nobody can move the bands, the deadline or the target.
| Odds of bonding | Back to the coin | Market liquidity | Creator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 35% | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| 35% to 65% | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Above 65% | 25% | 35% | 40% |
Asked often
Where does my coin live?
On pump.fun. Forecast launches it there from your own wallet, so it trades, charts and bonds like any other pump.fun coin and shows on pump.fun, GMGN, Axiom and Photon.
What does "bond" mean?
The coin fills its pump.fun bonding curve and its liquidity moves to a locked pool. On Forecast every coin has 72 hours to get there.
Who decides yes or no?
Nobody. The answer is read from Solana: was the curve complete before the deadline. If it was, yes pays. If not, no pays.
How are yes and no priced?
Each market runs an LMSR curve. A yes share at 0.62 SOL means the market gives the coin a 62% chance. Winning shares pay 1 SOL.
Can the creator change the question?
No. The deadline, the target and the fee bands are the same for every coin.
What does it cost to launch?
pump.fun's create fee, Solana's network fee, and your first buy if you add one. Your wallet shows the exact total before you approve.
Are the markets open?
Launching on pump.fun is open now. Yes and no trading opens soon. Until then the odds on this site are examples.